Gold Investment: Will History Repeat Itself In The Current Bull
Market?
Gold Investment - 11 June
2011
Jeff Clark, the editor at
Casey Research's Big Gold newsletter, said that the gold price has been rising steadily since July 2010. It
fell by 4% last month, which was the biggest decline, except for the 6.2% drop in
January.
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However, these declines are
barely noticed as "corrections" in the bull market, which began in 2001. Since then there have been 18 such
corrections. Declines are met by more buying, which pushes the price higher. As a result, the gold price is
constantly on the increase.
The factors that cause the
gold price to increase, include bad news economically
and more money printing. Yet, investors want to know whether that means that there will be no more big
corrections and history could provide some clues.
Investors feel that if a time
could be found where major falls were sidestepped, it would be reasonable to think that a period of steady climbing
has been entered. However, if bigger corrections were seen during a mania, we might see them even during the most
bullish of markets.
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During the 1970s mania, which
was one of the biggest parabolic gold runs in history, there were seven major
corrections. This results in one average correction of 10.1%, every three to four months. These declines were
sharp and lasted fewer than 10 business days. All the declines lasted less than one month, around the middle of
the mania.
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